|
|
Prediction for CME (2015-06-09T20:00:00-CME-001)CME Observed Time: 2015-06-09T20:00ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/8632/-1 CME Note: Associated with an eruption seen in SDO AIA 193/304 around 2015-06-09T20:00Z from AR 2364. Also connected to the C2.8 flare also from AR 2364 around the same time. CME Shock Arrival Time: 2015-06-12T12:19Z Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME: ---- Predicted Arrival Time: 2015-06-12T12:19Z Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 4.0 - 6.0 Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC) Prediction Method Note: NASA GSFC SWRC ENLIL settings: ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: low2 (256x30x90) Ambient settings: a3b1f WSA version: 2.2 (Enlil 2.7 w/res:low2 ambient:a3b1f, WSA2.2) Please enter the full notification:Lead Time: 41.95 hour(s) Difference: 0.00 hour(s) Prediction submitted by Aleksandre Taktakishvili (GSFC) on 2015-06-10T18:22Z |
|
CCMC
Rules of the Road: CCMC requests that users notify the CCMC, CME
model/technique developers and submitting forecasters/researchers before
performing event and validation studies with data from the CME Arrival
Time Scoreboard. It is recommended that such studies be performed with
the knowledge and collaboration of developers and submitting
forecasters/researchers. Curator: Chiu Wiegand | NASA Official: Dr. Masha Kuznetsova | Privacy and Security Notices | Accessibility | CCMC Data Policy |